I'm inclined to think that it is my opinion that I tend to think that it is likely to be the case that X.

Philosophers face a dilemma.

On the one hand, we ought to make clear that we all know that philosophy is a very difficult subject; all sorts of views are hard to argue either for or against. We therefore ought to be very careful with what we say, and clarify it sufficiently so that our level of ignorance and lack of confidence is clear.

On the other hand, it's a pain to prefix every sentence you write with "I tend to think that...", or "In my opinion...". It's much easier to write a sentence or two acknowleging one's own ignorance at the start of a piece, and ignoring the issue thereafter. Or, better yet, have a tacit understanding that when discussing philosophy, uncertainty permeates the air.

It seems to me that philosophers tend to opt for the last option (Or: "Philosophers opt for the last option."). This has the advantage of making books and articles much easier to read for trained philosophers, and the disadvantage of potentially alienating non-philosophers from the subject matter.

So this post is a warning: I also tend to opt for the last option, and therefore note that I'm never as certain as my posts might suggest. It also serves as an argument as to why popularisation of philosophy might be tricky. Let's hope someone can find a better compromise than I can.