Arbitrary choices in theoretical reasoning?

Some writers (e.g. Harman) say that arbitrary choices are sometimes reasonable in practical reasoning, but never in theoretical reasoning. So when choosing which baked bean can to take off the shelf at the supermarket, it's ok to just randomly pick any old one. In contrast, there is no piece of reasoning where it's ok to just randomly pick something to believe.

You might think that it's false that arbitrary choices are rational in practical reasoning (perhaps you ought to take the closest and least-dented can). But even if that's true, here's an example that might be a case of rational and arbitrary theoretical reasoning.

I'm deciding whether or not to believe the proposition:
P: By the time I finish this piece of reasoning, I will believe P.

I take an arbitrary choice to be one where where doing nothing is worse than some options available, and where there is more than one jointly best option. This is true of this piece of reasoning. If you believe that P is true, then P is true, and so you have one more correct belief. If you believe that P is false, then P is false, and so you have one more correct belief. So these options are equally good. And each is better than not believing either P or its negation. To withhold belief here is just to miss out on a 'free' true belief.
(I mean that not believing this is irrational to some extent. Obviously people have better things to do with their time than believe such bizarre propositins, and so this extremely low level of irrationality is outweighed by the vastly more important things we can devote mental energy to.)

empty

I'm not convinced that P is really a proposition...

Why not? Presumably not

Why not? Presumably not only for the ad-hoc reason that doing so allows you to avoid various paradoxes?

Al

It's empty! Compare: Q: "Q

It's empty! Compare:

Q: "Q is true"

It says nothing at all. (Ask yourself: how does the world have to be in order for the purported proposition to be true? What state of affairs does it correspond to? There's nothing there beyond the words.)

There are two ways I can

There are two ways I can respond to this emptiness objection.

First, I could continue to insist that propositions like these - even Q - have content. After all, Q is different from:
R: "R is false"
And if it can be different from something, it must have content. Or, to take an analogy, how does the world have to be for "4 = 4/4*4" to be true? This says something true, but it isn't at all clear what state of affairs it corresponds to.

You might not be convinced by that. It's not really my area, so I'm willing to admit that could be wrong. But how about if I modify the proposition:
P*: "Shortly after considering this proposition, Al will believe one more bizarre proposition."

That doesn't seem empty, and does seem to continue to get the requird "guaranteed correctness" result (At least in some cases. In some contexts I might in that short period of time fail to believe P* but also come to believe some other bizarre proposition. But that's fine: I'm only claiming that arbitrary choices are sometimes reasonable, not always).

Al

I think Richard is right.

I think Richard is right. The self-referring proposition is not really a proposition at all. Try substituting the whole expression for P. By the time I finish this piece of reasoning, I will believe by the time I finish this piece of reasoning, I will believe by the time I finish this piece of reasoning, I will believe ... ad infinitum.